Zambia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAN
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
TAN
0 - 1
ZAM
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CGO
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MOZ
1 - 0
CTA
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BFA
4 - 0
MOZ
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MOZ
1 - 0
BFA
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MOZ
5 - 4
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |