Zambia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ANG
53%
25%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
UGA
1 - 0
ZAM
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
UGA
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
KOR
2 - 1
ZAM
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
78%
17%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |