Zambia vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CIV
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 2
ZAM
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 1
LSO
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ISR
4 - 2
ZAM
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SYC
0 - 3
COM
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
CIV
8%
18%
75%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CIV
3 - 1
COM
92%
6%
2%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BFA
2 - 1
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |