Zambia vs Chad analysis

Zambia Chad
78 ELO 46
-12.3% Tilt 3%
1403º General ELO ranking 5274º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.2%
Zambia
15.7%
Draw
7.1%
Chad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
Zambia
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.1%
Win probability
Chad
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Zambia
Chad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2007
TAN
Tanzania
1 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
22%
24%
54%
79 62 17 0
02 Jun. 2007
ZAM
Zambia
3 - 0
Congo
CGO
57%
25%
19%
78 71 7 +1
26 May. 2007
NAM
Namibia
1 - 2
Zambia
ZAM
21%
23%
56%
78 58 20 0
25 Mar. 2007
CGO
Congo
0 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
28%
26%
47%
78 70 8 0
10 Dec. 2006
ZAM
Zambia
0 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
68%
20%
11%
78 64 14 0

Matches

Chad
Chad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2007
RSA
South Africa
4 - 0
Chad
CHA
80%
15%
5%
45 81 36 0
24 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chad
0 - 3
South Africa
RSA
12%
20%
69%
46 81 35 -1
16 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chad
1 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
77%
13%
10%
45 23 22 +1
11 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chad
0 - 2
Gabon
GAB
14%
19%
67%
46 69 23 -1
06 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chad
3 - 2
Liechtenstein
LIE
72%
16%
12%
46 23 23 0