Zambia vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 1
ZAM
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CGO
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 2
ZAM
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SDN
68%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RSA
4 - 0
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 3
RSA
12%
20%
69%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
LIE
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |