Zambia vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GNB
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MWI
65%
23%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
GHA
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
NIG
1 - 0
NAM
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 0
MOZ
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 3
NAM
32%
26%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |