Zambia vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 0
ZAM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
MLI
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 2
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MUS
2 - 0
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
UGA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UGA
3 - 0
MUS
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
MUS
0 - 0
SYC
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |