Zambia vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
28%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZIM
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 1
SDN
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
MAD
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
13%
22%
65%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
MOZ
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
XXK
1 - 0
MAD
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |