Zambia vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 2
ZAM
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SDN
68%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RWA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
ETH
0 - 1
ZAM
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 0
CGO
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
GAB
0 - 1
CGO
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
4 - 1
LIE
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |