Yugoslavia vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1977 |
MEX
0 - 1
YUG
38%
27%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1977 |
MEX
5 - 1
YUG
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
COL
0 - 1
YUG
14%
21%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ESP
1 - 0
YUG
56%
24%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
ITA
3 - 0
YUG
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TUN
0 - 3
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
69%
21%
11%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ARG
0 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
1 - 2
DDR
61%
20%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |