Yugoslavia vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 4
YUG
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
YUG
1 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
POL
2 - 2
YUG
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
DDR
1 - 0
SUN
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 0
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 1
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 0
SWE
55%
23%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
37%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |