Yugoslavia vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1966 |
SWE
1 - 1
YUG
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
56%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1966 |
YUG
0 - 2
BGR
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1966 |
POR
2 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUN
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |