Yugoslavia vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
YUG
1 - 1
SUN
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 0
YUG
34%
24%
43%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
YUG
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1964 |
ROU
3 - 0
YUG
50%
22%
29%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1965 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
48%
21%
31%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
74%
14%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
20%
19%
61%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 2
BEL
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |