Yugoslavia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
POL
0 - 0
YUG
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
ENG
2 - 1
YUG
58%
23%
19%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
YUG
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
CYP
1 - 2
YUG
13%
23%
64%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
YUG
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ESP
2 - 3
AUT
66%
21%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
58%
25%
18%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUI
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
ESP
4 - 0
HUN
57%
24%
19%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
HUN
2 - 2
ESP
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |