Yugoslavia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1978 |
ITA
0 - 0
YUG
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 0
YUG
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
YUG
0 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
GRC
0 - 0
YUG
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ROU
4 - 6
YUG
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SWE
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
2 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
24%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
URU
0 - 0
ESP
31%
30%
39%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 0
MEX
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |