Yugoslavia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 0
YUG
43%
24%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
YUG
9 - 1
FIN
86%
9%
4%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1968 |
YUG
0 - 2
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1968 |
ITA
2 - 0
YUG
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1968 |
ITA
1 - 1
YUG
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 3
ESP
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 2
ENG
38%
23%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1968 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
ENG
1 - 0
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
ESP
3 - 1
SWE
62%
20%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |