Djibouti vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
4 - 1
DJI
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
TAN
3 - 0
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
ETH
4 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
UGA
3 - 1
NIG
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 0
UGA
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
LSO
0 - 0
UGA
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
UGA
2 - 1
NGA
23%
28%
50%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
UGA
1 - 1
TAN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |