African WC Qual. First Round Final
Global 2-1
Djibouti vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ETH
4 - 3
DJI
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
DJI
0 - 1
ETH
8%
13%
80%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ETH
3 - 0
DJI
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | -3 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DJI
1 - 5
ETH
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
6 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
SWZ
69%
21%
11%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SWZ
1 - 1
ANG
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
MUS
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |