Djibouti vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
DJI
0 - 6
ETH
12%
18%
69%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
UGA
6 - 1
DJI
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
DJI
1 - 2
SOM
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2001 |
TAN
4 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
BDI
3 - 1
DJI
58%
20%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
UGA
3 - 0
SDN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
ETH
3 - 1
SDN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
SDN
4 - 1
SOM
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
SDN
1 - 5
ETH
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
SDN
1 - 3
CIV
21%
27%
52%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |