AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 2-5
Djibouti vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NIG
7 - 2
DJI
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
ALG
7%
16%
77%
|
34 | 84 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
BFA
2 - 0
DJI
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
BFA
7%
15%
79%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
DJI
2 - 4
NIG
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
UZB
3 - 0
SSD
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GAM
2 - 1
SSD
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
JOR
3 - 0
SSD
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 0
SSD
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SSD
0 - 1
MWI
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |