Djibouti vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
77.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
BFA
2 - 0
DJI
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
BFA
7%
15%
79%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
DJI
2 - 4
NIG
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ALG
8 - 0
DJI
93%
6%
1%
|
35 | 84 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LBN
1 - 0
DJI
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
NIG
0 - 4
ALG
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
ALG
6 - 1
NIG
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 1
ALG
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ALG
8 - 0
DJI
93%
6%
1%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
5 - 1
LBR
84%
11%
4%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |