Djibouti vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 1
DJI
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
DJI
0 - 6
SWZ
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
DJI
0 - 2
TOG
13%
19%
68%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
DJI
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DJI
1 - 2
BDI
25%
23%
51%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 0
LBR
92%
6%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBR
0 - 1
CIV
6%
16%
78%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 3
LBR
34%
24%
43%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 0
TUN
12%
21%
68%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |