Djibouti vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
0 - 7
UGA
15%
21%
65%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
4 - 1
DJI
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
TAN
3 - 0
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ERI
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
KEN
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | +1 |