Yemen vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yemen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
4 - 1
DJI
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
2 - 0
COM
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
YEM
2 - 1
IND
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
KSA
5 - 0
YEM
88%
10%
3%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
YEM
0 - 1
JPN
3%
12%
86%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ERI
0 - 0
SWZ
10%
17%
73%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
KEN
1 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 1
TAN
11%
19%
70%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 0
BDI
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
RWA
3 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |