Venezuela vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 2
ARG
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 3
VEN
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 0
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 3
VEN
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 3
PER
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
86%
11%
4%
|
75 | 97 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 0
BOL
88%
10%
3%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |