Vanuatu vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VAN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BRN
3 - 2
VAN
16%
18%
66%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
6 - 0
VAN
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
21%
26%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 0
NZL
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 1
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 0
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |