Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
URU
1 - 1
GTM
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
URU
16%
21%
63%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
URU
37%
24%
38%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |