Uruguay vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
URU
1 - 3
CRC
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
URU
2 - 0
SVN
78%
16%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
URU
1 - 0
NIR
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 1
URU
24%
24%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
URU
0 - 0
JOR
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ENG
0 - 0
HND
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 2
ENG
24%
24%
52%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
ENG
3 - 0
PER
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
66%
20%
14%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | -1 |