Uruguay vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
URU
9 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1927 |
URU
4 - 0
PER
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1927 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1928 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
46%
22%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |