Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
URY
2 - 0
CUB
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
URY
4 - 1
NIC
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 2
URY
34%
26%
41%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 1
URY
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 2
URY
13%
20%
67%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
CHL
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CHL
5 - 0
DOM
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
CHL
3 - 0
CUB
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
CHL
3 - 2
PRY
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SVK
0 - 0
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |