Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
URY
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ECU
2 - 1
URY
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URY
3 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
URY
2 - 0
CUB
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
URY
4 - 1
NIC
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
VEN
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
BOL
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 4
SEN
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
GIN
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 72 | 25 | 0 |