Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 2
URY
66%
19%
14%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
URY
2 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
URY
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ECU
2 - 1
URY
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URY
3 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PRY
1 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 2
ECU
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 3
ARG
5%
17%
78%
|
74 | 96 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
BOL
90%
8%
2%
|
74 | 97 | 23 | 0 |