URSS vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
CHN
0 - 1
SUN
63%
18%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
HUN
0 - 1
SUN
91%
6%
3%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
BGR
1 - 0
SUN
58%
19%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
SUN
3 - 1
CSK
41%
23%
36%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
ROU
0 - 0
SUN
59%
19%
22%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1960 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
POL
3 - 1
BRD
44%
22%
34%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ISR
1 - 1
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1959 |
BRD
0 - 3
POL
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
POL
6 - 2
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |