URSS vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1973 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRA
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
SUN
1 - 0
IRL
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
SUN
2 - 0
ROU
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
BGR
1 - 0
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
IRL
1 - 2
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
POL
2 - 0
ENG
32%
26%
43%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
CSK
1 - 1
ENG
35%
26%
39%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCO
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1973 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
NIR
1 - 2
ENG
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |