URSS vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
66.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
SUN
7 - 0
SWE
8%
13%
80%
|
18 | 85 | 67 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
3 - 1
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
18 | 82 | 64 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
5 - 5
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 82 | 65 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
16%
18%
65%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUN
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 87 | 73 | +2 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
HUN
5 - 1
ROU
90%
6%
3%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
HUN
2 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
URU
83%
10%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
BRA
78%
12%
10%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
8 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |