URSS vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 3
SUN
44%
22%
34%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1961 |
SUN
5 - 2
NOR
59%
18%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARG
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
SUN
1 - 0
TUR
49%
20%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
POL
1 - 0
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1961 |
HUN
1 - 2
AUT
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1961 |
AUT
3 - 1
ENG
39%
21%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
ITA
1 - 2
AUT
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |