URSS vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
SUN
1 - 0
TUR
49%
20%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
POL
1 - 0
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUN
79%
12%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1960 |
DDR
0 - 1
SUN
32%
23%
45%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
SUN
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1961 |
CSK
3 - 3
ARG
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1961 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARG
45%
23%
31%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
POR
0 - 2
ARG
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARG
21%
22%
58%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |