Ukraine vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
NZL
1 - 2
UKR
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
4 - 2
UKR
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 0
UKR
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
UKR
3 - 1
BEL
17%
21%
63%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
UKR
16%
22%
63%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GER
0 - 2
FRA
48%
22%
30%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
ESP
5 - 4
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
FRA
2 - 0
CRO
61%
21%
18%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
CRO
2 - 0
FRA
32%
26%
42%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 3
FRA
34%
25%
41%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |