Ukraine vs Spain analysis

Ukraine Spain
86 ELO 98
-11.1% Tilt -19.4%
156º General ELO ranking 20º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.2%
Ukraine
18.3%
Draw
73.5%
Spain

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
Ukraine
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
73.5%
Win probability
Spain
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Ukraine
Spain
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ukraine
Ukraine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2003
TUR
Turkey
0 - 0
Ukraine
UKR
76%
15%
9%
86 89 3 0
20 Nov. 2002
SVK
Slovakia
1 - 1
Ukraine
UKR
59%
23%
19%
86 85 1 0
16 Oct. 2002
NIR
Northern Ireland
0 - 0
Ukraine
UKR
56%
24%
20%
86 86 0 0
12 Oct. 2002
UKR
Ukraine
2 - 0
Greece
GRC
42%
26%
32%
85 89 4 +1
07 Sep. 2002
ARM
Armenia
2 - 2
Ukraine
UKR
27%
27%
47%
85 74 11 0

Matches

Spain
Spain
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2003
ESP
Spain
3 - 1
Germany
GER
60%
23%
18%
98 95 3 0
20 Nov. 2002
ESP
Spain
1 - 0
Bulgaria
BGR
77%
16%
7%
98 89 9 0
16 Oct. 2002
ESP
Spain
0 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
75%
17%
8%
98 91 7 0
12 Oct. 2002
ESP
Spain
3 - 0
Northern Ireland
NIR
83%
13%
4%
98 86 12 0
07 Sep. 2002
GRC
Greece
0 - 2
Spain
ESP
21%
23%
56%
98 89 9 0