Ukraine vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
73.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
TUR
0 - 0
UKR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
SVK
1 - 1
UKR
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
NIR
0 - 0
UKR
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
UKR
2 - 0
GRC
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ARM
2 - 2
UKR
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 1
GER
60%
23%
18%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
BGR
77%
16%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 0
NIR
83%
13%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
GRC
0 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |