Ukraine vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
CZE
4 - 0
UKR
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 3
URU
34%
26%
41%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
UKR
0 - 1
SWE
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 4
FRA
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 0
UZB
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SUI
3 - 1
BGR
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 3
ENG
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 0
BGR
34%
27%
40%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MNE
1 - 1
BGR
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CYP
0 - 1
BGR
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |