Ukraine vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
UKR
76%
18%
6%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
UKR
4 - 0
CRC
43%
27%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
AZE
0 - 0
UKR
19%
28%
53%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
UKR
1 - 0
JPN
31%
28%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
UKR
2 - 2
ALB
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 1
BLR
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
URU
16%
25%
60%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
0 - 0
MAR
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBY
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |