Turkey vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1925 |
ROU
1 - 2
TUR
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
TUR
2 - 1
BGR
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 10 | 67 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1924 |
POL
2 - 0
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1924 |
LVA
1 - 3
TUR
44%
23%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
15%
22%
64%
|
10 | 77 | 67 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 2
SUN
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | +1 |