Turkey vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUR
73%
19%
9%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 1
CIV
61%
23%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
AUT
2 - 4
TUR
42%
27%
32%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
TUR
17%
26%
58%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUR
2 - 1
BIH
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUR
73%
19%
9%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
ENG
53%
25%
22%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHI
74%
18%
7%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 2
ESP
17%
24%
58%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
EST
0 - 3
ESP
9%
21%
70%
|
99 | 69 | 30 | 0 |