Tunisia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
TUN
1 - 0
CMR
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
GHA
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
TUN
1 - 0
SWE
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 0
EGY
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
TUN
79%
16%
5%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GAM
0 - 0
SEN
27%
27%
45%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
SEN
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
RSA
1 - 4
SEN
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SEN
2 - 2
NGA
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LSO
0 - 1
SEN
9%
21%
71%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |