Tunisia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 0
TUN
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
NAM
89%
9%
3%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 1
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SDN
3 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
48%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TUN
1 - 1
GUI
64%
23%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 0
ZAM
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RSA
4 - 3
ZAM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
RSA
1 - 3
ZAM
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TOG
3 - 1
ZAM
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |