Tunisia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
TUN
2 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
TUN
1 - 0
SCG
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
TUN
0 - 1
SWE
17%
26%
57%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1998 |
TUN
3 - 0
LVA
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
TUN
1 - 1
ZIM
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
TUN
2 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ZAM
1 - 2
KSA
38%
29%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 0
KSA
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ANG
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
ZAM
4 - 3
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | +1 |