Tunisia vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
4 - 1
ZAM
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 0
GHA
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
EGY
1 - 2
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
COD
2 - 2
TUN
32%
30%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
RSA
0 - 2
GUI
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
1 - 2
RSA
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 3
SEN
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 2
COD
57%
25%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
GER
4 - 2
RSA
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | -1 |