Tunisia vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
41%
29%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 1
JPN
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
TUN
3 - 2
CIV
50%
27%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
EGY
2 - 1
RSA
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
CRC
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LSO
0 - 3
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZIM
64%
22%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
CIV
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |