Tunisia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
TUN
4 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KEN
1 - 2
TUN
23%
28%
49%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 1
NED
11%
21%
67%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 0
TUN
43%
29%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUN
77%
17%
6%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 0
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 0
MOZ
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOZ
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MOZ
1 - 1
CIV
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |