Tunisia vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
TUN
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
EQG
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
0 - 2
ALG
45%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
COD
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
EQG
1 - 0
MTN
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
MTN
2 - 0
YEM
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 0
LBR
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
4 - 1
MTN
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |