African WC Qual. 1st and 2nd Round Final
Global 4-2
Tunisia vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 2
TUN
13%
23%
64%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 3
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
3 - 3
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 0
TUN
12%
21%
68%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 2
TUN
13%
23%
64%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 1
MLI
15%
22%
64%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 1
MTN
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
4 - 0
SSD
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
MTN
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |